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An economist working for the Central Bank of Fredonia estimates a Phillips curve for Fredonia and reports the following points on the estimated curve.  actual inflation rate  unemplayment rate 5%4%4%4.5%3%5%2%5.5%\begin{array} { | c | c | } \hline \text { actual inflation rate } & \text { unemplayment rate } \\\hline 5 \% & 4 \% \\\hline 4 \% & 4.5 \% \\\hline 3 \% & 5 \% \\\hline 2 \% & 5.5 \% \\\hline\end{array} Which of the following statements is correct?


A) These points are consistent with the theoretical long-run Phillips curve, but not with the short-run Phillips curve.
B) These points are consistent with the theoretical short-run Phillips curve, but not with the long-run Phillips curve.
C) These points are consistent with both the theoretical short-run and long-run Phillips curves.
D) These points are not consistent with either the theoretical short-run or long-run Phillips curves.

E) None of the above
F) A) and B)

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If monetary policy moves unemployment below its natural rate, both expected and actual inflation will rise.

A) True
B) False

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In the long run, the inflation rate depends primarily on the growth rate of the money supply.

A) True
B) False

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According to Friedman and Phelps, the unemployment rate


A) is never below its natural rate.
B) is below its natural rate when actual inflation is greater than expected inflation.
C) is below its natural rate when actual inflation is less than expected inflation.
D) is below its natural rate when actual inflation equals expected inflation.

E) All of the above
F) B) and C)

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If policymakers increase aggregate demand, then in the short run the price level


A) falls and unemployment rises.
B) and unemployment fall.
C) and unemployment rise.
D) rises and unemployment falls.

E) All of the above
F) B) and D)

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In the long run what primarily determines the natural rate of unemployment? In the long run what primarily determines the inflation rate? How does this relate to the classical dichotomy?

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In the long run the natural rate of unem...

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If a central bank reduces inflation 2 percentage points and this makes output fall 3 percentage points and unemployment rise 5 percentage points for one year, the sacrifice ratio is


A) 5/2.
B) 3/2.
C) 2/3.
D) 2/5.

E) C) and D)
F) B) and D)

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According to Friedman and Phelps, policymakers face a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment


A) only in the long run.
B) only in the short run.
C) in neither the long run nor short run.
D) in both the short run and long run.

E) A) and D)
F) B) and C)

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In the long run, which of the following would shift the long-run Phillips curve to the right?


A) an increase in the minimum wage
B) an increase in government spending
C) an increase in the money supply
D) a decrease in the money supply

E) B) and C)
F) A) and D)

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If the Federal Reserve increases the growth rate of the money supply, in the long run


A) inflation is higher and the unemployment rate is lower.
B) inflation is higher while the unemployment rate is unchanged.
C) inflation is unchanged while the unemployment rate is lower.
D) None of the above is correct.

E) A) and D)
F) A) and C)

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In 2001, Congress and President Bush instituted tax cuts. According to the short-run Phillips curve, in the short run this change should have


A) reduced inflation and unemployment.
B) raised inflation and unemployment.
C) reduce inflation and raised unemployment.
D) raised inflation and reduced unemployment.

E) A) and B)
F) A) and C)

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Considering a plot of the inflation rate and the unemployment rate, one might conjecture that the short run Phillips curve was further to the right in the first part of the 2000's than it was in the last part of the 1990s and 2000.


A) If so, this might have been the result of a negative supply shock or an increase in expected inflation.
B) If so, this might been the result of a negative supply shock, or a decrease in expected inflation.
C) If so, this might have been the result of a positive supply shock, or an increase in expected inflation.
D) If so, this might have been the result of a positive supply shock, or a decrease in expected inflation.

E) C) and D)
F) B) and C)

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Suppose that the Fed unexpectedly pursues contractionary monetary policy. What will happen to unemployment in the short run? What will happen to unemployment in the long run? Justify your answer using the Phillips curves.

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In the short run, unemployment will rise...

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An increase in the inflation rate permanently reduces the natural rate of unemployment.

A) True
B) False

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Which of the following is downward-sloping?


A) both the long-run Phillips curve and the long-run aggregate-supply curve
B) neither the long-run Phillips curve nor the long-run aggregate-supply curve
C) the long-run Phillips curve, but not the long-run aggregate-supply curve
D) the short-run Phillips curve, but not the long-run aggregate-supply curve

E) A) and D)
F) B) and C)

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The economist A.W. Phillips published a famous article in 1958 in which he showed a


A) negative correlation between the rate of unemployment and the rate of inflation.
B) positive correlation between the rate of unemployment and the rate of inflation.
C) negative correlation between the rate of unemployment and the rate of interest.
D) positive correlation between the rate of unemployment and the rate of interest

E) A) and B)
F) A) and D)

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If people anticipate higher inflation, but inflation remains the same then


A) the short-run Phillips curve would shift right and unemployment would rise.
B) the short-run Phillips curve would shift right and unemployment would fall.
C) the short-run Phillips curve would shift left and unemployment would rise.
D) the short-run Phillips curve would shift left and unemployment would fall.

E) A) and C)
F) A) and D)

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A policy change that changes the natural rate of unemployment changes


A) neither the long-run Phillips curve nor the long-run aggregate supply curve.
B) both the long-run Phillips curve and the long-run aggregate supply curve.
C) the long-run Phillips curve, but not the long-run aggregate supply curve.
D) the long-run aggregate supply curve, but not the long-run Phillips curve.

E) A) and B)
F) A) and C)

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In the United States during the 1970s, expected inflation


A) rose substantially.
B) rose slightly.
C) fell slightly.
D) fell substantially.

E) A) and B)
F) All of the above

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An adverse supply shock shifts the short-run Phillips curve right and the short-run aggregate-supply curve left.

A) True
B) False

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